What's the worst-case death rate from the jabs?
The Armchair Epidemiologist Strikes Again
[05-14-24: added excess deaths from 2022, 2023]
What is the worst-case death rate caused by the mRNA jabs? Note that I’m by no means claiming they are causing any deaths (although I do suspect that). This essay is an attempt to gauge the maximum fatality rate they could be causing.
Many “anti-vaxxers” claim that the “vaccines” that were heavily promoted, nay, mandated for hundreds of millions since December 2020 have all manner of defects, not the least of which is that they are far more deadly than any prior non-mRNA vaccine. There’s a lot of evidence to support such allegations. What is beyond all doubt is that the mRNA “vaccines” were a product with virtually no track record, poorly tested ignoring traditional standards and hastily approved. It’s far from the first such rushed immunization (for example, the 1976 flu vaccine that was quickly halted after a handful of deaths and injuries.)
There’s virtually no long-term (or even medium-term!) data verifying safety or even efficacy. In partial sympathy with the (pre-Covid) anti-vaxxers, I understand that, compared to drugs and other medical interventions, vaccines are held to lower standards, proofs of safety and efficacy. In the USA, and perhaps elsewhere, vaccine makers have the very unusual legal grant of almost total indemnity from vaccine injury claims.
But I’m digressing. The main point here is that the mRNA jabs were a slapdash product, violating all manner of traditional standards which themselves may fall short of intellectual honesty. There’s simply no way of knowing what the long-term adverse effects will be, because there’s little data and even less incentive to look for it.
Pardon my above rant ageist dodgy vaccines. There’s plenty written on the topic and you can find it elsewhere.
The entire fiasco is still playing out, now over three years into the mRNA “vaccine” use. I will not speak of it further in this article.
Here’s a link to one such recent article that claims that 1 per 1000 death rate:
2 months ago · 726 likes · 372 comments · Steve Kirsch
What I do want to examine, in a back of the envelope way, is a key claim of some anti-vaxxers: that the fatality rate of mRNA jabs may be as high as one in a thousand. If that’s true, it’s a grave indictment, since traditional vaccine deaths are usually touted as being in the one in a million range. I don’t want to get into the whole “vaccines are bad” thing here, and I confess it’s one of many rabbit holes I’ve scarcely explored.
Despite that, there are still some approximations – very rough ones – that the layman can make, using readily available data and that’s more or less not controversial, nor is it of a type that various powers have an interest in hiding from prying eyes.
In the case of deaths, they are usually recorded in pretty good detail. I’m going to ask a simple question that can be easily answered.
My question is a simple one: What were the excess deaths in Florida in 2021, using 2019 as a baseline? This is something easily answered, especially since I’ve looked at it in the past and have figures on hand.
You are free to look up the source data here from the official source:
https://www.flhealthcharts.gov/charts/default.aspx
Accessing the data is beyond the scope of this article.
How many deaths were there in Florida in 2019? 206,975
How many deaths were there in Florida in 2021? 261,237
Apparent excess deaths = 261237/206975 ~= 1.262 => 26.2% above expected deaths.
Note I make many simplifying assumptions here:
1. The State’s population change is not factored in. But it’s only a few percent per year at most. Prior to 2020, the annual death count typically changed < 1%.
2. I’m assuming that ALL state residents took a shot in 2021. That too is unrealistic, but I don’t have vaccine uptake figures and I wouldn’t fully trust them if I did. This assumption actually favors the jabs, since the true fatality rate must be somewhat higher.
Finally, the biggie:
3. I’m going to assume that ALL the excess deaths were due to the jab Of course that is almost certainly false, but lacking more detailed information, it’s my simplifying assumption. To state what I world hope would be obvious, we know that not more than 100% of those excess deaths could have been caused by the “vaccines.”
Now, we need to know what the FL state population was in 2021. I found the figure 21.78 million, which I’ll use.
OK, how many excess deaths were there in 2021? 261237-206975 = 54,262.
That’s an excess death rate of 2.49 per 1,000, often stated as 249 per 100,000. In normal times, about 0.9% of the population dies, so as a sanity check, we can see that 0.24/0.9 ~= 0.266 => 26.6%, which is very close to the excess death rate I derived earlier.
Therefore I have set an “upper bound” on the question of (possible) deaths caused by the jab.
You should be able to see that even if we assume that “only” half of those excess deaths were due to an experimental immunization, we would arrive at a figure remarkably close to Kirsch’s 1 in a 1000 claim.
No wonder that no one wants to talk about these issues, and that the powers that be went to (and still go to) great efforts to quash any discussion of them. It’s all “misinformation” and “conspiracy theory,” you see. Hundreds of thousands of deaths in the USA, and millions worldwide…nothing to see here folks, move along please.
Other Opinion
To reiterate, I don’t know why “too many” people are dying. This essay’s purpose (other than to throw shade on the medical-industrial complex in general, and vaccination in particular) was simply to find an upper bound to excess deaths in Florida 2021-2022. Here’s a piece from Daily Sceptic offering a different perspective on the issue. If one aims to be impartial, it pays to consider opposing points of view, including, as it were, to be skeptical of skeptics.
https://dailysceptic.org/2024/01/22/a-critique-of-the-17-million-deaths-caused-by-the-vaccines-claim/
Addenda: excess deaths in later years
2022 +17.2%
2023 (provisional) + 12.0%
Well, at least not as many people are dying these past few years. It’s probably pure coincidence that mRNA vaccine popularity has dropped like a stone since 2021.
Great piece, thank you! Also very telling that New Zealand just arrested the government health agency worker that released the vax/death data, even though no personal info was revealed. All the mainstream news outlets that are reporting on it see it as just a security breach, but as for the revelation of the lethality of the shots?
Simple denial. Nope, all made up, move along, please.
I swear, the "mainstream" media should be collectively fired - and rehired to work for the governments in NKorea, Venzuala, China, etc.
Worthless "journalists," absolutely worthless.